While national well-being has been declining since 2016, the well-being of Blue Zones Project Hawaii communities has remained steady since their baseline year of 2015 or 2017. Blue Zones Project Hawaii communities appear to be rebounding from 2019 to 2020 despite the survey window coinciding with the COVID-19 pandemic.
4M Communities 2017-2019 Value Accrued:
7.2% decrease in risk = $4M in generated value
10-year value projection from 2019:
27.7% decrease in risk = $124M in generated value
Wahiawa 2017-2020 Value Accrued:
10.1% increase in risk = $3.9M in generated value
Wahiawa 10 year value projection from 2019:
30.8% decrease in risk = $78M in generated value
The Healthways Simulation Model, developed in collaboration with the World Economic Forum, Harvard, Johns Hopkins School of Public Health, and Boston Consulting Group, is a predictive population health simulation model that can calculate health care-related costs associated with conditions and behaviors, forecast the incidence and progression of these diseases over time, and determine the medical and productivity value of changes in health conditions over time. The accuracy of this model was scientifically and independently tested using data available from the Framingham Heart Study, the longest- running longitudinal epidemiologic public health study of its kind, to ensure validity of the model using real data points. According to this simulation model, West Hawaii has outperformed state of Hawaii well- being trends since its baseline year of 2017, seeing 10.5 percent fewer health risks than expected if the community had followed state trends. This risk avoidance equates to $2.96 million in avoided medical and productivity costs to the community from 2017 to 2019.
The Healthways Simulation Model, developed in collaboration with the World Economic Forum, Harvard, Johns Hopkins School of Public Health, and Boston Consulting Group, is a predictive population health simulation model that can calculate health care-related costs associated with conditions and behaviors, forecast the incidence and progression of these diseases over time, and determine the medical and productivity value of changes in health conditions over time. The accuracy of this model was scientifically and independently tested using data available from the Framingham Heart Study, the longest- running longitudinal epidemiologic public health study of its kind, to ensure validity of the model using real data points. According to this simulation model, Central Maui has outperformed state of Hawaii well- being trends since its baseline year of 2017, seeing 4.4 percent fewer health risks than expected if the community had followed state trends. This risk avoidance equates to $1.24 million in avoided medical and productivity costs to the community from 2017 to 2019.
*Selected communities stated.
U.S. Surgeon General after his orientation to the Blue Zones Project in the Beach Cities, California